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What are the chances of an Israeli strike against Houthi militia leaders in Yemen?
Locals| 5 October, 2024 - 9:35 PM
Yemen Youth - Follow-ups
Abdulmalik al-Houthi
A research center concluded that the possibility of Israel launching retaliatory strikes against the Houthis "will be minimal, in the event of a relative recovery by Hezbollah, and Israel's involvement in a war of attrition in southern Lebanon, in addition to the war in Gaza."
The Mokha Center for Strategic Studies said in a position paper titled “In Light of Its Threats: What Are the Chances of an Israeli Strike on Houthi Leaders?” that the possibility of an Israeli strike would be “in the event of a serious escalation by Iran and its involvement in mutual strikes with Israel, a decline in the attacks carried out by the Houthis, and limited damage that could result from them.”
He expected "an increase in the chances of operations that Israel could carry out against the Houthis if: Israel achieves a military success against Hezbollah, and in light of the decline in the possibility of a direct military clash with Iran, or in the event of a large-scale clash in the region, and American warships are damaged by the Houthis."
The center indicated that if Israeli strikes against the Houthis occur, they "will remain at the level of economic interests that create a media echo, similar to the two previous strikes that the city of Hodeidah was subjected to."
The center estimated the possibility of the Israeli strikes extending to an attempt to assassinate first- or second-tier military or political leaders of the Houthis, ruling out the possibility of them reaching an attempt to assassinate the group’s leader, unless a decision is made by Netanyahu, or if Israel suffers serious damage as a result of the Houthi attacks.
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